Sohini Biswas, Desk: Normally, 5 to 7 assembly elections are held in India every year, that is, every four months, the folks of our country give their votes to form a government in their states. The Election Commission has announced the election dates in the states, and among the five states, West Bengal is the most important one since Mamata Banerjee’s government and the BJP is in an undeviating fight. What will be the new situation in the country’s politics after this face-to-face competition?
Who will be winning in these elections?
There is a straight contest between BJP and TMC in West Bengal. During 2016 elections, BJP had won only 3 of the 294 seats in Bengal, but then after three years in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, BJP secured 18 out of 42 Lok Sabha seats. The proportion increased to 40.64 which is just 3 percent less than TMC. We can say that BJP has got very close to TMC and this is the cause of a direct competition between Mamata Banerjee and BJP in West Bengal.
Mamata Banerjee on the arena of Bengal
Mamata Banerjee’s politics is against the BJP. Considering West Bengal only, the elections will also mark the national politics and the main reason being Mamata Banerjee. She has been ruling for the last 10 years on the arena of Bengal and the opposition also has great competition, in the form of Mamata. In such circumstances, if our current CM loses the election, then the opposition will lose a gigantic hurdle. By now, other weak opposition parties will not have much players left and her path will turn out to be even more problematic for the 2024 general election.
Meanwhile the BJP’s remarkable performance in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections made the Opposition parties, the Congress and the Left, to take a soft stand on Mamata Banerjee in this time’s election. It is a prodigious strength for them to do so. Yet, a significant point here is that Mamata Banerjee has solid roots in West Bengal and TMC in rural areas is still measured influential. In such a condition, the fight will not be stress-free for the BJP in West Bengal.
Benefits of long and short elections
If this balloting takes place in eight stages, then this election will take place in a month steadily. As we understand, BJP is like a stubborn fighting machine aka a well oil machinery. More time consuming elections will benefit BJP as it is evolving as a very proficient. The approach of BJP will be different for each phase. For instance, if there are 8 stages, then BJP will have an altered strategy for every phase.
As working like the machinery, the BJP’s tactic will be to boil away the atmosphere of West Bengal slowly. Initially, it will start to boil and will gradually boil so much till the 8th phase benefiting BJP. Distinctively, if BJP makes a mistake in the beginning, or in the second or third phase, the party will get a chance to fix these tactics in the mid. Consequently, a long election will benefit BJP from many angles.